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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Sunday 1 November 2026

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 1 November 2026. Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau sits top on 4.58 in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 4.58 down to 3.30, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the goal fest market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
5 : 1 FT
Austria Lustenau
βœ“ Win 85%
Draw 11%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Groningen
2 : 3 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 47%
Draw 20%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 79%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
3 : 5 FT
FC Zurich
Win 61%
Draw 17%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
4 : 2 FT
Utrecht
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 21%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 78%
#5 Super League Β· Switzerland
Lausanne
4 : 5 FT
FC Thun
Win 28%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
– : – 19:45
Toulouse
Win 39%
Draw 22%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 76%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
4 : 0 FT
Tromso
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 21%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 75%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
3 : 2 FT
Molde
Win 37%
Draw 22%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
5 : 1 FT
Auxerre
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Amed
5 : 1 FT
Eyüpspor
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 11%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 71%
#11 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Lugano
2 : 1 FT
FC Basel 1893
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
5 : 2 FT
RAAL La Louvière
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy
Frosinone
2 : 0 FT
Torino
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
– : – 20:00
Real Sociedad
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%
#15 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
2 : 1 FT
Asteras Tripolis
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#16 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
1 : 0 FT
IFK Goteborg
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%
#17 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
AS Eupen
1 : 2 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#18 Eliteserien Β· Norway
KFUM Oslo
2 : 2 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#19 Primera División Β· Chile
Huachipato
0 : 0 FT
D. La Serena
Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
#20 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
2 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Sunday 1 November 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau at 4.58 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.