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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Saturday 25 January 2025

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 25 January 2025. Club Brugge KV vs Kortrijk led the list at 4.40 in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 4.40 down to 3.23, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the goal fest market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
1 : 1 FT
Kortrijk
Win 81%
Draw 13%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
3 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 11%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Zulte Waregem
3 : 2 FT
AS Eupen
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 18%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 2 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 53%
Draw 20%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Southampton
1 : 3 FT
Newcastle
Win 6%
Draw 14%
βœ“ Win 81%
✓ Over 2.5 73%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
1 : 0 FT
Konyaspor
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Muangthong United
2 : 1 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
2 : 2 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 32%
Draw 22%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#9 Premier League Β· England
Wolves
0 : 1 FT
Arsenal
Win 16%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 63%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
1 : 2 FT
Bayern München
Win 29%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
3 : 1 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#12 Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
3 : 1 FT
Chelsea
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
2 : 3 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 30%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#14 League Two Β· England
Crewe
0 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
2 : 3 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 29%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#16 Championship Β· England
Norwich
5 : 1 FT
Swansea
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 League One Β· England
Stockport County
2 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Winterthur
2 : 3 FT
FC Lugano
Win 28%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#19 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 1 FT
Bangkok United
Win 28%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 47%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#20 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
3 : 3 FT
Rayong FC
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Saturday 25 January 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Club Brugge KV vs Kortrijk at 4.40 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.