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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Monday 15 April 2024

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

13 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 15 April 2024. Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al Wahda FC led the list at 3.48 in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 3.48 down to 2.54, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Allsvenskan supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the goal fest market — 69%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1 : 0 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 20%
Draw 20%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC
3 : 0 FT
Hatta SC
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Varnamo
0 : 4 FT
Malmo FF
Win 22%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
6 : 0 FT
Everton
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
0 : 4 FT
Galatasaray
Win 21%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
4 : 3 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
1 : 1 FT
Dnipro-1
Win 19%
Draw 23%
Win 58%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
2 : 1 FT
Cambuur
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
3 : 0 FT
IF Elfsborg
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
2 : 0 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Superettan Β· Sweden
Gefle IF
2 : 2 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#12 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Vancouver FC
4 : 1 FT
Valour
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
#13 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 0 FT
Dundalk
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 53%

Showing top 13 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Monday 15 April 2024?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al Wahda FC at 3.48 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.