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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Friday 2 June 2023

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Friday 2 June 2023. Saint Etienne vs Valenciennes led the list at 3.46 in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 3.46 down to 2.68, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 2 supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the goal fest market — 54%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France
Saint Etienne
2 : 0 FT
Valenciennes
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Wehen
4 : 0 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
1 : 0 FT
Caen
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Paris FC
1 : 0 FT
Annecy
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Niort
3 : 3 FT
Quevilly
Win 33%
Draw 24%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Super League Β· China
Hangzhou Greentown
3 : 0 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
4 : 3 FT
Changchun Yatai
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
1 : 3 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 23%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France
Nimes
3 : 1 FT
Sochaux
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Austria
WSG Wattens
1 : 1 FT
SCR Altach
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 1 FT
Cork City
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 55%
#12 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 0 FT
Dundalk
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Lustenau
5 : 1 FT
TSV Hartberg
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 13 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Friday 2 June 2023?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Saint Etienne vs Valenciennes at 3.46 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.