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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Monday 7 November 2022

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Monday 7 November 2022. Fenerbahçe vs Sivasspor sits top on 3.48 in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 3.48 down to 2.61, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the goal fest market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
1 : 0 FT
Sivasspor
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
0 : 1 FT
Almere City FC
Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
2 : 2 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
2 : 0 FT
Roda
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
5 : 0 FT
Hebei Zhongji
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2 FT
Real Madrid
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Reggina
2 : 1 FT
Genoa
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Metz
3 : 2 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 8 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Monday 7 November 2022?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Fenerbahçe vs Sivasspor at 3.48 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.