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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Monday 31 October 2022

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Monday 31 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Jong Ajax vs Willem II at 3.26 in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 3.26 down to 2.54, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the goal fest market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 2 FT
Willem II
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
3 : 0 FT
Helsingborg
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAS Giannina
2 : 1 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile
U. Catolica
0 : 0 FT
A. Italiano
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
0 : 1 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Sivasspor
0 : 2 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
1 : 3 FT
AS Roma
Win 28%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy
Monza
1 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 League One Β· England
Plymouth
4 : 2 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 9 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Monday 31 October 2022?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong Ajax vs Willem II at 3.26 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.