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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals — Sunday 29 May 2022

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) — making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

18 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 29 May 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Al Taee vs Al-Ittihad FC at 3.80 in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 3.80 down to 2.51, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the goal fest market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 28%
Draw 20%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 71%
#2 Eliteserien · Norway
Molde
3 : 1 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
2 : 2 FT
Valour
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Ligue 1 · France
Saint Etienne
1 : 1 FT
Auxerre
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
2 : 2 FT
Lillestrom
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern
2 : 0 FT
FC Schaffhausen
✓ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
2 : 0 FT
WSG Wattens
✓ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Superettan · Sweden
Orebro SK
0 : 2 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Abha
✓ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
#10 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF
4 : 0 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
✓ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#11 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Mariehamn
1 : 3 FT
VPS
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
6 : 1 FT
Vitesse
✓ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
2 : 2 FT
Aalesund
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
2 : 2 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Eliteserien · Norway
jerv
0 : 5 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 24%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 50%
BTTS Yes 53%
#16 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Helsingborg
1 : 2 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 25%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 50%
#17 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG
2 : 1 FT
Avai
✓ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 57%
#18 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
– : – CANC
Antwerp
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 18 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest — common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Sunday 29 May 2022?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Taee vs Al-Ittihad FC at 3.80 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.