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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals — Sunday 8 May 2022

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) — making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 8 May 2022. Grasshoppers vs FC Sion led the list at 4.12 in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 4.12 down to 2.90, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the goal fest market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League · Switzerland
Grasshoppers
0 : 1 FT
FC Sion
Win 41%
Draw 20%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 76%
#2 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Erzgebirge AUE
0 : 3 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 11%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Super League · Switzerland
Lausanne
0 : 0 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 28%
Draw 21%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Superettan · Sweden
IK brage
4 : 0 FT
Orgryte IS
✓ Win 52%
Draw 21%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 1 FT
Lillestrom
Win 53%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Premier League · England
Manchester City
5 : 0 FT
Newcastle
✓ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
1 : 1 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
3 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
Win 25%
Draw 22%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern
4 : 0 FT
Servette FC
✓ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Süper Lig · Turkey
Yeni Malatyaspor
1 : 3 FT
Rizespor
Win 24%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Premier League · Russia
Lokomotiv
1 : 0 FT
Rubin
✓ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
2 : 2 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Veikkausliiga · Finland
HJK Helsinki
2 : 1 FT
Ilves
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
1 : 3 FT
Valerenga
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Premier League · England
Arsenal
2 : 1 FT
Leeds
✓ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Eliteserien · Norway
Ham-Kam
0 : 0 FT
Aalesund
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 2 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#19 Primera División · Chile
Nublense
4 : 0 FT
U. Catolica
✓ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
#20 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC
2 : 2 FT
Dynamo Dresden
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest — common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Sunday 8 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Grasshoppers vs FC Sion at 4.12 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.