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First Half Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest first-half goal probability β€” Friday 2 June 2023

First half goals (over 0.5) lands when at least one goal goes in before the break. Our prediction model scales each fixture's full-match expected goals by the share of goals its league actually scores in the first half, measured from recent results. Only fixtures with a 75%+ chance of a first-half goal are shown.

Five fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 2 June 2023. Saint Etienne vs Valenciennes sits top on 78% in the Ligue 2.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 5, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the first half goals market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France 78%
Saint Etienne
2 : 0 FT
Valenciennes
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 77%
SV Wehen
4 : 0 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Super League Β· China 76%
Hangzhou Greentown
3 : 0 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France 75%
PAU
1 : 0 FT
Caen
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France 75%
Paris FC
1 : 0 FT
Annecy
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 5 fixtures by first-half goal probability (a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

First Half Goals β€” common questions

What does the First Half Goals market mean?

First Half Goals settles on whether a match produces at least one goal before half-time. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate first half goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The first-half goal probability shown here is the probability of at least one goal before half-time — the full-match expected goals scaled by the share of goals each league actually produces in the first half, measured from its recent results. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for First Half Goals on Friday 2 June 2023?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Saint Etienne vs Valenciennes at 78% first-half goal probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these first half goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.