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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Friday 5 March 2027

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Seven fixtures clear the bar on Friday 5 March 2027. VVV Venlo vs Jong Ajax (VVV Venlo (draw no bet)) sits top on 85% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 7, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands VVV Venlo (draw no bet) 85%
VVV Venlo
– : – 19:00
Jong Ajax
Win 73%
Draw 14%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France Saint Etienne (draw no bet) 84%
Saint Etienne
– : – 19:00
Guingamp
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 53%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Volendam (draw no bet) 83%
FC Volendam
– : – 19:00
Waalwijk
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Emmen (draw no bet) 75%
Emmen
– : – 19:00
Dordrecht
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong AZ (draw no bet) 74%
MVV
– : – 19:00
Jong AZ
Win 22%
Draw 17%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 84% BTTS Yes 78%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France RED Star FC 93 (draw no bet) 73%
Grenoble
– : – 19:00
RED Star FC 93
Win 20%
Draw 26%
Win 54%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France Reims (draw no bet) 70%
Reims
– : – 19:00
Rodez
Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 71%

Showing top 7 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Friday 5 March 2027?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by VVV Venlo vs Jong Ajax (VVV Venlo (draw no bet)) at 85% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.