Draw No Bet Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability — Friday 11 December 2026
Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists eight fixtures on Friday 11 December 2026. Heracles vs FC Volendam (Heracles (draw no bet)) tops the list at 91% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 72%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 8, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Heracles (draw no bet)
91%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS (draw no bet)
86%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk (draw no bet)
80%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse (draw no bet)
76%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen (draw no bet)
74%
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg (draw no bet)
73%
Ligue 2 · France
Montpellier (draw no bet)
73%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen (draw no bet)
72%
Showing top 8 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Draw No Bet — common questions
What does the Draw No Bet market mean?
Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Friday 11 December 2026?
eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Heracles vs FC Volendam (Heracles (draw no bet)) at 91% draw no bet probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.