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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Monday 29 December 2025

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

13 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 29 December 2025. The strongest reading belongs to FC Porto vs AVS (FC Porto (draw no bet)) at 94% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 72%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the draw no bet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto (draw no bet) 94%
FC Porto
2 : 0 FT
AVS
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ FC Porto Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Taawon (draw no bet) 88%
Al Taawon
1 : 0 FT
Al Najma
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 League One Β· England Bradford (draw no bet) 81%
Bradford
1 : 0 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 League One Β· England Huddersfield (draw no bet) 80%
Huddersfield
2 : 0 FT
Northampton
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Championship Β· England Blackburn (draw no bet) 78%
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 0 FT
Blackburn
Win 16%
Draw 27%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 Championship Β· England Coventry (draw no bet) 77%
Coventry
0 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#7 League One Β· England Bolton (draw no bet) 76%
Bolton
0 : 1 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#8 Championship Β· England Stoke City (draw no bet) 75%
Stoke City
1 : 2 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Championship Β· England Birmingham (draw no bet) 74%
Birmingham
1 : 1 FT
Southampton
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#10 League Two Β· England Chesterfield (draw no bet) 74%
Chesterfield
0 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#11 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Khaleej Saihat (draw no bet) 73%
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%
#12 League Two Β· England Grimsby (draw no bet) 72%
Grimsby
1 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
#13 League Two Β· England Crewe (draw no bet) 72%
Newport County
2 : 0 FT
Crewe
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 54%

Showing top 13 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Monday 29 December 2025?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Porto vs AVS (FC Porto (draw no bet)) at 94% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.