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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Friday 28 March 2025

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 28 March 2025. Telstar vs Vitesse (Telstar (draw no bet)) sits top on 89% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the draw no bet market — 88%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Telstar (draw no bet) 89%
Telstar
1 : 0 FT
Vitesse
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 12%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Excelsior (draw no bet) 84%
Excelsior
3 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Ratchaburi (draw no bet) 78%
Ratchaburi
3 : 2 FT
Prachuap
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen (draw no bet) 76%
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 1 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe (draw no bet) 73%
Bodrum FK
2 : 4 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 18%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 67% Fenerbahçe Clean Sheet 54%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy Spezia (draw no bet) 73%
Spezia
0 : 1 FT
Brescia
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#7 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Wasl FC (draw no bet) 71%
Al-Wasl FC
2 : 0 FT
Ajman
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France Bastia (draw no bet) 70%
Bastia
2 : 0 FT
Dunkerque
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Showing top 8 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Friday 28 March 2025?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Telstar vs Vitesse (Telstar (draw no bet)) at 89% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.