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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Saturday 24 February 2024

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 24 February 2024. PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven (PSV Eindhoven (draw no bet)) sits top on 93% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the draw no bet market — 79%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven (draw no bet) 93%
PEC Zwolle
1 : 7 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 6%
Draw 14%
βœ“ Win 80%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Port FC (draw no bet) 91%
Port FC
1 : 0 FT
Trat FC
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 12%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 87% BTTS Yes 70%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfB Stuttgart (draw no bet) 90%
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 65%
#4 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United (draw no bet) 88%
Buriram United
6 : 2 FT
Police Tero
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München (draw no bet) 86%
Bayern München
2 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Wasl FC (draw no bet) 85%
Emirates Club
0 : 2 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 13%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 70%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 71%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Vitória SC (draw no bet) 83%
Vitória SC
0 : 2 FT
Casa Pia
Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 63%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Magdeburg (draw no bet) 81%
1. FC Magdeburg
3 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Jagiellonia (draw no bet) 81%
Jagiellonia
1 : 1 FT
Ruch Chorzów
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#10 League Two Β· England Stockport County (draw no bet) 80%
Stockport County
0 : 0 FT
Swindon Town
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 65%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Waalwijk (draw no bet) 79%
Waalwijk
0 : 1 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
#12 Premier League Β· England Arsenal (draw no bet) 79%
Arsenal
4 : 1 FT
Newcastle
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#13 Championship Β· England Ipswich (draw no bet) 77%
Ipswich
3 : 1 FT
Birmingham
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#14 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Teplice (draw no bet) 77%
Teplice
2 : 2 FT
Karviná
Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Mönchengladbach (draw no bet) 77%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
5 : 2 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#16 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen (draw no bet) 76%
Plzen
3 : 0 FT
Zlin
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium KV Mechelen (draw no bet) 75%
KV Mechelen
3 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Germany Werder Bremen (draw no bet) 75%
Werder Bremen
1 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#19 League One Β· England Reading (draw no bet) 75%
Reading
2 : 3 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovan Liberec (draw no bet) 75%
Slovan Liberec
3 : 3 FT
FK Jablonec
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Saturday 24 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven (PSV Eindhoven (draw no bet)) at 93% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.