Sign in Register
↩️

Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Sunday 27 November 2022

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 27 November 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Frosinone vs Cagliari (Frosinone (draw no bet)) at 81% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 71%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Of the three fixtures on this list that have since finished, one landed the draw no bet market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy Frosinone (draw no bet) 81%
Frosinone
2 : 2 FT
Cagliari
Win 58%
Draw 29%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 64% Frosinone Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium SK Beveren (draw no bet) 80%
SK Beveren
2 : 3 FT
Lommel United
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium K. Lierse S.K. (draw no bet) 78%
K. Lierse S.K.
2 : 2 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#4 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Sukhothai FC (draw no bet) 73%
Lamphun Warrior
3 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
Win 19%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine Zorya Luhansk (draw no bet) 72%
Zorya Luhansk
1 : 1 FT
Minai
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Police Tero (draw no bet) 71%
Police Tero
1 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy Cittadella (draw no bet) 71%
Cittadella
1 : 1 FT
Cosenza
Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%

Showing top 7 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Sunday 27 November 2022?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Frosinone vs Cagliari (Frosinone (draw no bet)) at 81% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.