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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Saturday 19 November 2022

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 19 November 2022. Bangkok United vs Prachuap (Bangkok United (draw no bet)) led the list at 89% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies three of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the draw no bet market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Bangkok United (draw no bet) 89%
Bangkok United
1 : 1 FT
Prachuap
Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#2 League Two Β· England Swindon Town (draw no bet) 83%
Swindon Town
0 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 62% Swindon Town Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Heracles (draw no bet) 83%
Heracles
3 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 League Two Β· England Barrow (draw no bet) 79%
Barrow
3 : 1 FT
Hartlepool
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#5 League Two Β· England Walsall (draw no bet) 79%
Walsall
2 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#6 League One Β· England Oxford United (draw no bet) 76%
Oxford United
1 : 1 FT
Forest Green
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands MVV (draw no bet) 73%
MVV
1 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
#8 League One Β· England Sheffield Wednesday (draw no bet) 70%
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%

Showing top 8 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Saturday 19 November 2022?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Bangkok United vs Prachuap (Bangkok United (draw no bet)) at 89% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.