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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Friday 18 March 2022

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Friday 18 March 2022. Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm (Al-Ittihad FC (draw no bet)) sits top on 85% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 72%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the draw no bet market — 44%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC (draw no bet) 85%
Al-Ittihad FC
3 : 0 FT
Al-Hazm
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Al-Ittihad FC Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands NAC Breda (draw no bet) 81%
Helmond Sport
4 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
Win 15%
Draw 20%
Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Pogon Szczecin (draw no bet) 79%
Pogon Szczecin
4 : 1 FT
Wisla Krakow
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Premier League Β· England Wolves (draw no bet) 78%
Wolves
2 : 3 FT
Leeds
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain Athletic Club (draw no bet) 78%
Athletic Club
1 : 1 FT
Getafe
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Trabzonspor (draw no bet) 78%
Rizespor
3 : 2 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 17%
Draw 22%
Win 61%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC (draw no bet) 76%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4 : 2 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#8 League Two Β· England Newport County (draw no bet) 76%
Newport County
2 : 3 FT
Hartlepool
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfL Bochum (draw no bet) 74%
VfL Bochum
0 : 2 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise (draw no bet) 73%
Union St. Gilloise
1 : 1 FT
Oostende
Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 66% Union St. Gilloise Clean Sheet 53%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC St. Pauli (draw no bet) 72%
FC St. Pauli
1 : 0 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 11 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Friday 18 March 2022?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm (Al-Ittihad FC (draw no bet)) at 85% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.