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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability — Saturday 28 August 2021

Wed 25 Thu 26 Fri 27 Sat 28 Sun 29 Mon 30 Tue 31

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 28 August 2021. Manchester City vs Arsenal (Manchester City (draw no bet)) sits top on 88% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 74%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the draw no bet market — 92%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · England Manchester City (draw no bet) 88%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Premier League · England West Ham (draw no bet) 87%

Bundesliga · Germany FSV Mainz 05 (draw no bet) 85%

✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 55%

Premier League · Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv (draw no bet) 85%

Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Championship · England Bournemouth (draw no bet) 84%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München (draw no bet) 84%

✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 67%

Allsvenskan · Sweden AIK Stockholm (draw no bet) 84%

Championship · England Birmingham (draw no bet) 82%

✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 61%

Ligue 2 · France Auxerre (draw no bet) 81%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%

#10

Ligue 2 · France Paris FC (draw no bet) 80%

#11

Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Köln (draw no bet) 79%

✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#12

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sparta Praha (draw no bet) 79%

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%

#13

2. Bundesliga · Germany Erzgebirge AUE (draw no bet) 77%

Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#14

Ekstraklasa · Poland Lech Poznan (draw no bet) 77%

✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 63%

#15

League Two · England Harrogate Town (draw no bet) 76%

✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%

#16

Superettan · Sweden AFC Eskilstuna (draw no bet) 75%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#17

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Baník Ostrava (draw no bet) 75%

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%

#18

Primeira Liga · Portugal Vizela (draw no bet) 75%

#19

Premier League · England Aston Villa (draw no bet) 74%

✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%

#20

Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg (draw no bet) 74%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Draw No Bet — common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Saturday 28 August 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Manchester City vs Arsenal (Manchester City (draw no bet)) at 88% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.