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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability — Saturday 14 August 2021

Wed 11 Thu 12 Fri 13 Sat 14 Sun 15 Mon 16 Tue 17

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 14 August 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Burnley vs Brighton (Burnley (draw no bet)) at 95% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the draw no bet market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · England Burnley (draw no bet) 95%

✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 63% Burnley Clean Sheet 61%

Premier League · England Chelsea (draw no bet) 95%

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Chelsea Clean Sheet 61%

Premier League · England Everton (draw no bet) 95%

✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 63% Everton Clean Sheet 61%

Premier League · England Leicester (draw no bet) 95%

Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Leicester Clean Sheet 61%

Premier League · England Watford (draw no bet) 95%

✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 63% Watford Clean Sheet 61%

2. Bundesliga · Germany SSV Jahn Regensburg (draw no bet) 82%

Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Ligue 1 · France Strasbourg (draw no bet) 81%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%

Eliteserien · Norway Lillestrom (draw no bet) 80%

Süper Lig · Turkey Altay (draw no bet) 80%

✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%

#10

Süper Lig · Turkey Hatayspor (draw no bet) 80%

Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#11

Eredivisie · Netherlands Twente (draw no bet) 80%

Under 2.5 85% BTTS No 81% Twente Clean Sheet 70%

#12

Ligue 2 · France Valenciennes (draw no bet) 79%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#13

2. Bundesliga · Germany Karlsruher SC (draw no bet) 79%

#14

Süper Lig · Turkey Fatih Karagümrük (draw no bet) 79%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#15

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sparta Praha (draw no bet) 78%

Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#16

Bundesliga · Germany VfL Wolfsburg (draw no bet) 78%

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%

#17

Allsvenskan · Sweden Malmo FF (draw no bet) 77%

✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#18

Premier League · England Norwich (draw no bet) 76%

#19

Premier League · Russia Dynamo (draw no bet) 75%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#20

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Kortrijk (draw no bet) 75%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Draw No Bet — common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Saturday 14 August 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Burnley vs Brighton (Burnley (draw no bet)) at 95% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.