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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 30 August 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 30 August 2026. Gwangju FC vs FC Seoul (FC Seoul or draw) sits top on 93% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 80%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 Β· South-Korea FC Seoul or draw 93%
Gwangju FC
2 : 5 FT
FC Seoul
Win 7%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 72%
BTTS No 58% FC Seoul Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking or draw 91%
Viking
2 : 1 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 13%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 90%
Real Madrid
4 : 0 FT
Malaga
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 88%
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 2 FT
Rosenborg
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IFK Goteborg or draw 86%
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0 FT
Orgryte IS
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Austria Rapid Vienna or draw 85%
Rapid Vienna
3 : 1 FT
Sturm Graz
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil Gremio or draw 84%
Gremio
3 : 1 FT
Chapecoense-sc
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
#8 Premier League Β· Russia Spartak Moscow or draw 83%
Spartak Moscow
1 : 1 FT
FC Orenburg
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile Universidad de Chile or draw 83%
Universidad de Concepcion
2 : 1 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 17%
Draw 27%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 63%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil Palmeiras or draw 82%
Mirassol
1 : 1 FT
Palmeiras
Win 18%
Draw 24%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 82%
Cambuur
1 : 4 FT
Twente
Win 18%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Hammarby FF or draw 82%
AIK Stockholm
3 : 2 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 18%
Draw 25%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Primera División Β· Chile Colo Colo or draw 82%
Colo Colo
5 : 1 FT
A. Italiano
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Gornik Zabrze or draw 81%
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 3 FT
GKS Katowice
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Premier League Β· Ukraine LNZ Cherkasy or draw 81%
LNZ Cherkasy
0 : 1 FT
Veres Rivne
Win 44%
Draw 37%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#16 Premier League Β· England Manchester United or draw 81%
Manchester United
5 : 2 FT
Ipswich
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 80%
Feyenoord
2 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir or draw 80%
Başakşehir
1 : 1 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#19 Serie A Β· Brazil Bahia or draw 80%
Bahia
3 : 2 FT
Internacional
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 34%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#20 Premier League Β· Ukraine Kryvbas KR or draw 80%
Chornomorets
1 : 0 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 20%
Draw 29%
Win 50%
BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 30 August 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Gwangju FC vs FC Seoul (FC Seoul or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.