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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 30 May 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eleven fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 30 May 2026. Chengdu Better City vs Shandong Luneng (Chengdu Better City or draw) sits top on 92% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the double chance market — 91%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City or draw 92%
Chengdu Better City
1 : 0 FT
Shandong Luneng
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland HJK Helsinki or draw 88%
HJK Helsinki
1 : 0 FT
Mariehamn
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Gais or draw 87%
Gais
3 : 0 FT
Kalmar FF
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile Universidad de Chile or draw 85%
Universidad de Chile
2 : 1 FT
Concepción
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 63%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde or draw 84%
Molde
2 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Gnistan or draw 82%
Gnistan
3 : 2 FT
SJK
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil Gremio or draw 80%
Gremio
1 : 3 FT
Corinthians
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico Paranaense or draw 79%
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 0 FT
Mirassol
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil Santos or draw 79%
Santos
3 : 1 FT
Vitoria
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#10 Superettan Β· Sweden Varbergs BoIS FC or draw 78%
Ljungskile SK
1 : 3 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 22%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada HFX Wanderers FC or draw 76%
HFX Wanderers FC
1 : 0 FT
Vancouver FC
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 11 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 30 May 2026?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Chengdu Better City vs Shandong Luneng (Chengdu Better City or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.