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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 15 November 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 15 November 2025. Lincoln vs Doncaster (Lincoln or draw) sits top on 87% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Lincoln or draw 87%
Lincoln
2 : 1 FT
Doncaster
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 57%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo or draw 85%
Sport Recife
1 : 5 FT
Flamengo
Win 15%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#3 League Two Β· England Gillingham or draw 84%
Gillingham
2 : 2 FT
Crawley Town
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 61%
#4 League Two Β· England Notts County or draw 84%
Notts County
1 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Cambuur or draw 83%
FC Eindhoven
3 : 3 FT
Cambuur
Win 17%
Draw 20%
Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 League Two Β· England Accrington ST or draw 81%
Accrington ST
3 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#7 League Two Β· England Grimsby or draw 79%
Grimsby
0 : 1 FT
Chesterfield
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%
#8 League One Β· England Leyton Orient or draw 78%
Leyton Orient
2 : 1 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
#9 League One Β· England Wycombe or draw 76%
Port Vale
0 : 0 FT
Wycombe
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#10 League Two Β· England Tranmere or draw 76%
Tranmere
3 : 2 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 10 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 15 November 2025?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Lincoln vs Doncaster (Lincoln or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.