Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 4 October 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 4 October 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun (Shandong Luneng or draw) at 93% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 81%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Super League · China
Shandong Luneng or draw
93%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC or draw
91%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern or draw
90%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF or draw
90%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Forge or draw
89%
Championship · England
Coventry or draw
87%
League One · England
Bolton or draw
86%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
HFX Wanderers FC or draw
85%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lokeren-Temse or draw
85%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund or draw
84%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard or draw
82%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen or draw
82%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray or draw
82%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord or draw
82%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF or draw
82%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven or draw
81%
Serie B · Italy
Avellino or draw
81%
Premier League · England
Arsenal or draw
81%
League One · England
Lincoln or draw
81%
Championship · England
West Brom or draw
81%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 4 October 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun (Shandong Luneng or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.