Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 4 January 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 4 January 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Stoke City vs Plymouth (Stoke City or draw) at 92% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 79%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Championship supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Championship · England
Stoke City or draw
92%
Premier League · England
Aston Villa or draw
89%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon or draw
87%
Championship · England
Preston or draw
87%
Championship · England
Bristol City or draw
85%
Premier League · England
Bournemouth or draw
84%
League One · England
Leyton Orient or draw
84%
League One · England
Wrexham or draw
84%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray or draw
83%
Ligue 2 · France
Metz or draw
82%
Premier League · England
Arsenal or draw
82%
Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp or draw
81%
League Two · England
Colchester or draw
81%
League Two · England
Notts County or draw
81%
Championship · England
Norwich or draw
81%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille or draw
80%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica or draw
80%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Samsunspor or draw
80%
League One · England
Huddersfield or draw
79%
Premier League · England
Brentford or draw
79%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 4 January 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Stoke City vs Plymouth (Stoke City or draw) at 92% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.