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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 18 November 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Saturday 18 November 2023. Blackpool vs Shrewsbury (Blackpool or draw) sits top on 85% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 79%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies four of the top 6, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Blackpool or draw 85%
Blackpool
4 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
#2 League Two Β· England Stockport County or draw 83%
Stockport County
2 : 0 FT
Colchester
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 League Two Β· England Mansfield Town or draw 82%
Mansfield Town
2 : 0 FT
Newport County
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Widzew Łódź or draw 81%
Widzew Łódź
2 : 1 FT
Ruch Chorzów
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#5 League Two Β· England Sutton Utd or draw 80%
Sutton Utd
1 : 1 FT
Tranmere
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#6 League Two Β· England Barrow or draw 79%
Barrow
1 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 6 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 18 November 2023?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Blackpool vs Shrewsbury (Blackpool or draw) at 85% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.