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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 4 February 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 4 February 2023. Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC Schalke 04 (Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw) sits top on 89% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 82%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw 89%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 60%

Premier League · England Brighton or draw 89%

Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 57%

League One · England Derby or draw 88%

Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 87%

Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

Premier League · England Arsenal or draw 86%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium RWDM or draw 86%

Bundesliga · Germany Eintracht Frankfurt or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 62%

Premier League · England Newcastle or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 63%

#10

Bundesliga · Germany Union Berlin or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#11

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 54%

#12

Premier League · England Manchester United or draw 84%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%

#13

League One · England Bolton or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Bolton Clean Sheet 55%

#14

League Two · England Carlisle or draw 83%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%

#15

Ligue 1 · France Paris Saint Germain or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

#16

Ligue 1 · France Rennes or draw 83%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%

#17

Thai League 1 · Thailand Muangthong United or draw 83%

#18

League Two · England Leyton Orient or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 72% ✓ Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 58%

#19

Premier League · England Brentford or draw 82%

#20

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw 82%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 4 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC Schalke 04 (Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.