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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 30 November 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Five matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 30 November 2022. Shandong Luneng vs Shijiazhuang Y. J. (Shandong Luneng or draw) led the list at 89% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 78%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies four of the top 5, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the double chance market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China Shandong Luneng or draw 89%
Shandong Luneng
2 : 3 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Super League Β· China Dalian Aerbin or draw 86%
Hebei Zhongji
1 : 4 FT
Dalian Aerbin
Win 14%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Super League Β· China Tianjin Teda or draw 86%
Tianjin Teda
1 : 0 FT
Guangzhou R&F
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#4 Super League Β· China SHANGHAI SIPG or draw 81%
SHANGHAI SIPG
1 : 3 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 78%
Dynamo Kyiv
3 : 0 FT
Metal Kharkiv
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Showing top 5 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 30 November 2022?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Shandong Luneng vs Shijiazhuang Y. J. (Shandong Luneng or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.