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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 17 July 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

16 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 17 July 2022. Sligo Rovers vs UCD (Sligo Rovers or draw) led the list at 91% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 81%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland Sligo Rovers or draw 91%
Sligo Rovers
0 : 2 FT
UCD
Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#2 Primera División Β· Chile Curico Unido or draw 88%
Curico Unido
3 : 2 FT
U. Catolica
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking or draw 88%
Viking
2 : 1 FT
Kristiansund BK
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
BTTS No 58%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 81%
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 1 FT
Widzew Łódź
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia FC Sochi or draw 81%
Torpedo Moskva
1 : 3 FT
FC Sochi
Win 19%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland Derry City or draw 79%
Finn Harps
1 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 21%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 54%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV or draw 79%
Eintracht Braunschweig
0 : 2 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 21%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 52%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde or draw 78%
Molde
1 : 0 FT
Haugesund
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw 78%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0 : 1 FT
Valerenga
Win 59%
Draw 19%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 69%
#10 Premier League Β· Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 77%
FC Krasnodar
2 : 2 FT
Fakel
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Sirius or draw 77%
Sirius
2 : 0 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 53%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Hammarby FF or draw 77%
Hammarby FF
3 : 0 FT
IF Elfsborg
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Serie A Β· Brazil America Mineiro or draw 76%
America Mineiro
0 : 3 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 55%
#14 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Paderborn 07 or draw 76%
SC Paderborn 07
5 : 0 FT
Karlsruher SC
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden AIK Stockholm or draw 76%
AIK Stockholm
1 : 0 FT
Kalmar FF
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#16 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IFK Goteborg or draw 75%
IFK Goteborg
1 : 1 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%

Showing top 16 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 17 July 2022?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sligo Rovers vs UCD (Sligo Rovers or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.