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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 5 March 2027

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 15 fixtures on Friday 5 March 2027. Emmen vs Dordrecht tops the list at 80% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · France
Boulogne
: 19:00
Laval
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
: 19:00
Dijon
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
: 19:00
RED Star FC 93
Win 26%
Draw 34%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ligue 2 · France
Montpellier
: 19:00
Annecy
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Nancy
: 19:00
Nantes
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 2 · France
PAU
: 19:00
Clermont Foot
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Reims
: 19:00
Rodez
Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 76%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux
: 19:00
Metz
Win 27%
Draw 36%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne
: 19:00
Guingamp
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
: 19:00
Jong Utrecht
Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
: 19:00
Dordrecht
Win 68%
Draw 16%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
: 19:00
Waalwijk
Win 57%
Draw 20%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
: 19:00
Jong AZ
Win 34%
Draw 21%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
: 19:00
Helmond Sport
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
: 19:00
Jong Ajax
Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Showing 15 of 15 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 5 March 2027?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Emmen vs Dordrecht at 80% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.