Sign in Register
πŸ”’

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Wednesday 9 December 2026

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists five fixtures on Wednesday 9 December 2026. Southampton vs Burnley tops the list at 81% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 42%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies four of the top 5, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Sisaket United
: 12:00
Port FC
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Derby
: 19:45
Bristol City
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Championship Β· England
Lincoln
: 19:45
Stoke City
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Preston
: 19:45
Portsmouth
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Championship Β· England
Southampton
: 20:00
Burnley
Win 82%
Draw 12%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 3–0 Β· 8%

Showing 5 of 5 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Wednesday 9 December 2026?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Southampton vs Burnley at 81% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.