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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Monday 22 December 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Monday 22 December 2025. Jong Utrecht vs Roda led the list at 60% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
5 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panserraikos
0 : 2 FT
Levadiakos
Win 14%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 66%
Over 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 0–2 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4 : 3 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Alverca
0 : 3 FT
FC Porto
Win 14%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 64%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 FT
Waalwijk
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· England
Fulham
1 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
1 : 2 FT
Espanyol
Win 30%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
1 : 0 FT
Famalicao
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 9 of 9 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Monday 22 December 2025?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong Utrecht vs Roda at 60% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.