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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 12 September 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

46 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 12 September 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan at 83% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 33%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Canada
Valour
2 : 1 FT
Forge
Win 21%
Draw 28%
Win 51%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG
4 : 2 FT
Yunnan Yukun
✓ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Super League · China
Chengdu Better City
1 : 0 FT
Changchun Yatai
✓ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Super League · China
Henan Jianye
2 : 0 FT
Beijing Guoan
✓ Win 48%
Draw 20%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 81%
Model Score 2–2 · 7%
Super League · China
Shanghai Shenhua
3 : 3 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Uthai Thani
0 : 1 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 30%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 42%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United
2 : 0 FT
Prachuap
✓ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria
4 : 1 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
2 : 1 FT
Dibba Al-Fujairah
✓ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Veres Rivne
2 : 0 FT
Kudrivka
✓ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
0 : 0 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
1 : 0 FT
Al-Hazm
✓ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 0 FT
GKS Katowice
✓ Win 63%
Draw 18%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier League · Russia
Rubin
1 : 0 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
✓ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
1 : 0 FT
Al Bataeh
✓ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 0 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
✓ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
✓ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt
7 : 1 FT
Kristiansund BK
✓ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Ligue 2 · France
Boulogne
1 : 2 FT
Laval
Win 27%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
0 : 0 FT
Bastia
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Le Mans
0 : 1 FT
Rodez
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
PAU
0 : 3 FT
RED Star FC 93
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Estac Troyes
3 : 0 FT
Nancy
✓ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
2 : 4 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 24%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 50%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
1 : 1 FT
Willem II
Win 53%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
3 : 3 FT
Dordrecht
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
0 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 35%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
1 : 1 FT
FC OSS
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
4 : 0 FT
Vitesse
✓ Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
2 : 0 FT
Waalwijk
✓ Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
0 : 1 FT
Cambuur
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
3 : 3 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lokeren-Temse
2 : 0 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RSC Anderlecht II
0 : 2 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
4 : 2 FT
Al-Fateh
✓ Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
1 : 2 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Avellino
2 : 1 FT
Monza
Win 34%
Draw 37%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
4 : 0 FT
Lorient
✓ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
1 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 30%
Draw 34%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
3 : 4 FT
Derry City
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Championship · England
Ipswich
5 : 0 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
2 : 2 FT
Elche
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Alverca
1 : 0 FT
Tondela
✓ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
1 : 1 FT
Santa Clara
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Primera División · Chile
Coquimbo Unido
2 : 1 FT
Nublense
✓ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Showing 46 of 46 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 12 September 2025?

46 fixtures met the criteria, led by Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan at 83% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.