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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 14 July 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Sunday 14 July 2024. Lahti vs AC Oulu led the list at 74% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 37%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Allsvenskan supplies four of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gwangju FC
0 : 2 FT
Incheon United
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon City FC
2 : 2 FT
Daegu FC
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
4 : 0 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
1 : 0 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
EIF
0 : 7 FT
Inter Turku
Win 33%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 34%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
3 : 5 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Kalmar FF
0 : 1 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 29%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 49%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
2 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Lahti
1 : 2 FT
AC Oulu
Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 8%

Showing 9 of 9 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 14 July 2024?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Lahti vs AC Oulu at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.