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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Tuesday 11 July 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

Six fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 11 July 2023. HFX Wanderers FC vs Pacific FC sits top on 66% in the Canadian Premier League. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 34%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies three of the top 6, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daegu FC
0 : 0 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeju United FC
0 : 0 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
3 : 0 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
2 : 0 FT
Henan Jianye
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
1 : 1 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 24%
Draw 33%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
HFX Wanderers FC
2 : 1 FT
Pacific FC
Win 31%
Draw 23%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%

Showing 6 of 6 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 11 July 2023?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by HFX Wanderers FC vs Pacific FC at 66% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.