Today's Correct Score Predictions

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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 21 April 2023

Tue 18 Wed 19 Thu 20 Fri 21 Sat 22 Sun 23 Mon 24

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

34 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 21 April 2023. FC Eindhoven vs NAC Breda led the list at 69% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 22%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China

Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Super League · China

✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Super League · China

Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Model Score 2–0 · 11%

Super League · China

Model Score 1–0 · 12%

Super League · China

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Premier League · Ukraine

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%

Model Score 1–0 · 17%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Bundesliga · Austria

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eredivisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 56%

Model Score 2–0 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%

Model Score 2–0 · 10%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Bundesliga · Germany

Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Serie B · Italy

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Serie A · Italy

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Premier Division · Ireland

Model Score 0–1 · 12%

Premier Division · Ireland

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 62%

Model Score 0–1 · 17%

Premier Division · Ireland

✓ Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 70%

Model Score 0–0 · 20%

Premier Division · Ireland

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Premier League · England

Model Score 2–0 · 12%

Ligue 1 · France

Model Score 0–2 · 12%

La Liga · Spain

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Showing 34 of 34 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Likely Draw Tightly Contested Over 2.5 Goals

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 21 April 2023?

34 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Eindhoven vs NAC Breda at 69% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.