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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Saturday 28 November 2020

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 28 November 2020. The strongest reading belongs to VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern München at 73% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 51%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies six of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
1 : 2 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
2 : 1 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 21%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
3 : 3 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
1 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 3 FT
Bayern München
Win 25%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
4 : 1 FT
Start
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
3 : 1 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 : 1 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%

Showing 8 of 8 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 28 November 2020?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern München at 73% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.