Sign in Register
πŸ”’

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Thursday 16 July 2020

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 16 July 2020. The strongest reading belongs to Start vs Rosenborg at 63% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 63% down to 26%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Allsvenskan supplies five of the top 7, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stabaek
1 : 1 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
2 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
6 : 0 FT
IF Elfsborg
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 17%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Kalmar FF
1 : 2 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Ostersunds FK
1 : 2 FT
Malmo FF
Win 26%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
1 : 0 FT
Mjallby AIF
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Start
0 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
Win 12%
Draw 17%
Win 71%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 11%

Showing 7 of 7 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Thursday 16 July 2020?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Start vs Rosenborg at 63% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.