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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 12 July 2020

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists ten fixtures on Sunday 12 July 2020. Aalesund vs Bodo/Glimt led the list at 87% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 29%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
1 : 0 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 21%
Draw 31%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 19%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Helsingborg
2 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 15%
Draw 29%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 69% AIK Stockholm Clean Sheet 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 20%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
3 : 1 FT
BK Hacken
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
1 : 2 FT
ODD Ballklubb
Win 26%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
1 : 2 FT
Stabaek
Win 65%
Draw 16%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 7%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 : 0 FT
Start
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Aalesund
1 : 6 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 10%
Draw 12%
βœ“ Win 79%
✓ Over 2.5 87% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–3 Β· 8%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Mjondalen
0 : 1 FT
Valerenga
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
3 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%

Showing 10 of 10 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 12 July 2020?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Aalesund vs Bodo/Glimt at 87% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.