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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 1 May 2027

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 1 May 2027. Newport County vs Port Vale sits top on 54% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 41%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two · England
Newport County
– : – 14:00
Port Vale
Win 66%
Draw 24%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 59% Newport County Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
– : – 15:00
Kortrijk
Win 81%
Draw 13%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS No 56%
#3 League Two · England
Northampton
– : – 14:00
Walsall
Win 18%
Draw 33%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#4 Premier League · Russia
Fakel
– : – 15:00
Rubin
Win 18%
Draw 32%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#5 Serie B · Italy
Arezzo
– : – 13:00
Avellino
Win 18%
Draw 30%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#6 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
– : – 15:00
Genk
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 57%
#7 League One · England
Plymouth
– : – 14:00
Wigan
Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#8 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Dender
– : – 18:00
KAA Gent II
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#9 Premier League · Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
– : – 15:00
Veres Rivne
Win 36%
Draw 39%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 61%
#10 League Two · England
Oldham
– : – 14:00
Rotherham
Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#11 Premier League · England
Arsenal
– : – 14:00
Tottenham
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#12 Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
– : – 15:00
Baltika
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#13 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chonburi FC
– : – 12:30
Bangkok United
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#14 League One · England
Oxford United
– : – 14:00
Peterborough
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55%
#15 Premier League · Russia
Dynamo
– : – 15:00
Akron
Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 53%
#16 Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov
– : – 15:00
FC Orenburg
Win 36%
Draw 37%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 60%
#17 League Two · England
Chesterfield
– : – 14:00
Swindon Town
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
#18 Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
– : – 15:00
Lorient
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#19 Premier League · England
Brighton
– : – 14:00
Nottingham Forest
Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Premier League · Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
– : – 15:00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 15%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 1 May 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Newport County vs Port Vale at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.