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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Poisson rates Al-Wasl FC at 46% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Dibba Al-Fujairah vs Al-Wasl FC encounter.

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Fixture Analysis

It is a Pro League clash, Regular Season - 10 as Dibba Al-Fujairah welcome Al-Wasl FC to Dibba Al Fujairah Club Stadium. Kick-off is set for Sunday 28 December 2025 at 12:50 UTC.

Form Guide

Dibba Al-Fujairah — All Games: 0W 3D 6L from 9 Pro League outings this season, averaging 0.33 points per game. Last five: D L D D L. They are averaging 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.89 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. Both teams have scored in 78% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone. This season is still relatively young for Dibba Al-Fujairah, so this record blends games from this season and last.

Dibba Al-Fujairah's form when playing at home: 0W 1D 4L across 5 games at Dibba Al Fujairah Club Stadium this term (0.20 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.

Across all Pro League games this season, Al-Wasl FC have recorded 5W 3D 2L from 10 outings — 1.80 PPG. Last five: W W W D D. Their scoring rate of 1.40 per game is modest, conceding 1.20 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Al-Wasl FC, so this record blends games from this season and last.

Al-Wasl FC's form when playing away from home: 6W 1D 3L across 10 road games this term (1.90 PPG). They are averaging 1.90 goals per away game — strong road scoring that makes them a threat even without home support. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.

Despite the home advantage, the form figures favour Al-Wasl FC — 1.47 PPG ahead of the hosts (1.80 vs 0.33). That gap is large enough to take seriously. Draw No Bet on the visitors neutralises home-ground risk while maintaining the form-backed selection.

Both teams score in over 70% of each side's relevant games (using home/away splits). At that combined rate, BTTS Yes is as well-evidenced as it gets — the data strongly backs two-way scoring.

H2H Record

There is little to separate the sides historically. From 2 previous meetings, Dibba Al-Fujairah have won 0, Al-Wasl FC 1, with 1 draws — a balanced ledger that offers no obvious directional steer on its own.

The last 2 meetings have been tight affairs, averaging just 1.5 goals per game. That low-scoring pattern is a meaningful historical input for the Under 2.5 market. The most recent clash, on 11 Feb 2023, ended 0–1 with Al-Wasl FC winning.

With a balanced win record and just 1.5 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.

Trading Patterns

Dibba Al-Fujairah in-play and half-time data (9 games, 4 at home): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures in home games; BTTS occurs in 75% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (home games).

Al-Wasl FC in-play and half-time data (9 games, 4 at away): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 75% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (away games).

From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Dibba Al-Fujairah 78% and Al-Wasl FC 67% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Dibba Al-Fujairah 56% | Al-Wasl FC 44%).

Poisson Model

The Poisson distribution model projects Dibba Al-Fujairah 1.06 xG and Al-Wasl FC 1.46 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Dibba Al-Fujairah attack 0.818 / defence 1.185 | Al-Wasl FC attack 0.941 / defence 0.968. League average goals — home 1.339 / away 1.305. Data: 9 Dibba Al-Fujairah games / 34 Al-Wasl FC games used (CurrentSeason).

Result probabilities: Dibba Al-Fujairah 28% | Draw 26% | Al-Wasl FC 46%. Fair-value odds: Dibba Al-Fujairah 3.57 | Draw 3.85 | Al-Wasl FC 2.17. Al-Wasl FC hold a narrow Poisson edge at 46% — the draw (26%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.

Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 46% | BTTS probability 50% | Total xG 2.52. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 46%/54% — the total xG of 2.52 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 50% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.

Summary & Verdict

The Poisson model's primary lean is Al-Wasl FC at 46% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 26% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Al-Wasl FC offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 28% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.

The Poisson model projects 2.52 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 46% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence — though form averaging only 3.1 goals per game points in the other direction.

On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 50% on Yes. Form rates corroborate: Dibba Al-Fujairah 80% | Al-Wasl FC 70% BTTS from recent games.

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