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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 9 December 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Tuesday 9 December 2025. Stevenage vs Cardiff led the list at 43% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 43% down to 29%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Stevenage
0 : 1 FT
Cardiff
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#2 League One · England
Reading
1 : 2 FT
Peterborough
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#3 League One · England
Wycombe
0 : 1 FT
Plymouth
Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Championship · England
Southampton
3 : 2 FT
West Brom
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#5 League Two · England
Swindon Town
0 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 League Two · England
Barnet
4 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#7 Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 1 FT
Norwich
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#8 Championship · England
QPR
2 : 1 FT
Birmingham
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
#9 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
0 : 2 FT
Accrington ST
Win 29%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#10 League One · England
Mansfield Town
0 : 1 FT
Bolton
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
#11 Championship · England
Watford
1 : 1 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
#12 League Two · England
Bromley
3 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
✓ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Championship · England
Blackburn
1 : 1 FT
Oxford United
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#14 Championship · England
Charlton
1 : 2 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 27%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 47%
#15 Championship · England
Swansea
1 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
✓ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 54%
#16 League One · England
Leyton Orient
1 : 1 FT
Luton
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 League One · England
Lincoln
3 : 1 FT
Barnsley
✓ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
#18 League Two · England
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1 FT
Salford City
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 League One · England
Exeter City
1 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
✓ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#20 League Two · England
Cambridge United
1 : 1 FT
Chesterfield
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 9 December 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Stevenage vs Cardiff at 43% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.