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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 4 March 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 4 March 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Notts County vs Barrow at 57% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 38%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the clean sheet market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Notts County
1 : 2 FT
Barrow
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 65% Notts County Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Championship Β· England
Cardiff
1 : 2 FT
Burnley
Win 20%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 70% Burnley Clean Sheet 55%
#3 League One Β· England
Wycombe
2 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 35%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 70% ✓ Wycombe Clean Sheet 53%
#4 League One Β· England
Mansfield Town
0 : 0 FT
Wigan
Win 19%
Draw 31%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#5 League Two Β· England
Bradford
3 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#6 League Two Β· England
Carlisle
1 : 1 FT
Walsall
Win 16%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 60%
#7 League Two Β· England
Morecambe
1 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#8 Championship Β· England
Preston
0 : 0 FT
Swansea
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#9 League Two Β· England
Port Vale
0 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#10 League One Β· England
Huddersfield
0 : 1 FT
Wrexham
Win 28%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#11 League Two Β· England
Colchester
1 : 0 FT
Chesterfield
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#12 Championship Β· England
Hull City
2 : 0 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#13 League One Β· England
Reading
0 : 0 FT
Exeter City
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#14 League Two Β· England
Newport County
3 : 1 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#15 League One Β· England
Charlton
1 : 0 FT
Barnsley
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#16 Championship Β· England
Millwall
0 : 2 FT
Bristol City
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#17 League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
0 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#18 League Two Β· England
Grimsby
1 : 1 FT
Tranmere
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#19 League One Β· England
Cambridge United
0 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#20 League One Β· England
Northampton
1 : 1 FT
Stockport County
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 4 March 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Notts County vs Barrow at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.