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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 5 November 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 5 November 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd at 45% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 45% down to 23%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies six of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
1 : 2 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 35%
Draw 38%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 64%
#2 Championship Β· England
QPR
1 : 4 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 23%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 55%
#3 Championship Β· England
Swansea
1 : 0 FT
Watford
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#4 League One Β· England
Burton Albion
0 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Championship Β· England
Oxford United
1 : 0 FT
Hull City
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#6 Championship Β· England
Plymouth
1 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 69%
#7 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
2 : 0 FT
Norwich
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 64%
#8 League One Β· England
Stockport County
0 : 5 FT
Wycombe
Win 35%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 8 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 5 November 2024?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd at 45% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.