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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 4 November 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 4 November 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Ajaccio vs Metz at 48% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 23%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio
0 : 1 FT
Metz
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#2 Serie A · Italy
Empoli
1 : 0 FT
Como
✓ Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#3 Ekstraklasa · Poland
GKS Katowice
1 : 2 FT
Korona Kielce
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#4 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
3 : 0 FT
Slask Wroclaw
✓ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 0 FT
Getafe
✓ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
4 : 3 FT
MVV
Win 23%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 57%
#7 Premier League · Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
1 : 1 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
#8 Serie A · Italy
Lazio
2 : 1 FT
Cagliari
✓ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
1 : 2 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 58%
#10 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
1 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
#11 Premier League · Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
0 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
#12 Superettan · Sweden
Orgryte IS
2 : 1 FT
Ostersunds FK
✓ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
2 : 3 FT
Emmen
Win 19%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#14 Serie A · Italy
Parma
0 : 1 FT
Genoa
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Super League 1 · Greece
Asteras Tripolis
3 : 0 FT
OFI
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Nacional
2 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Premier League · England
Fulham
2 : 1 FT
Brentford
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Süper Lig · Turkey
Samsunspor
2 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
✓ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#19 Serie A · Brazil
Corinthians
2 : 0 FT
Palmeiras
✓ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#20 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
2 : 2 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 4 November 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajaccio vs Metz at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.