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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 19 August 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 19 August 2023. Ruh Lviv vs Kolos Kovalivka sits top on 50% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 40%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the clean sheet market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League · Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
1 : 1 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
#2 League One · England
Portsmouth
0 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Concarneau
0 : 2 FT
Caen
Win 25%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#4 League One · England
Northampton
1 : 0 FT
Peterborough
Win 15%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 0 FT
Stal Mielec
✓ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#6 Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense
3 : 1 FT
America Mineiro
✓ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
#7 League One · England
Blackpool
0 : 0 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#8 Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
0 : 1 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#9 League One · England
Bolton
0 : 4 FT
Wigan
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#10 League Two · England
Morecambe
3 : 0 FT
Bradford
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#11 League One · England
Reading
2 : 0 FT
Stevenage
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#12 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
0 : 3 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 18%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 59%
#13 League Two · England
Crawley Town
0 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#14 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice
1 : 1 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 23%
Draw 26%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#15 League Two · England
Doncaster
1 : 3 FT
Notts County
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 54%
#16 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
0 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#17 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Degerfors IF
1 : 2 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#18 La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
1 : 1 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#19 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Vancouver FC
3 : 2 FT
Pacific FC
Win 12%
Draw 17%
Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
3 : 0 FT
Ascoli
✓ Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 19 August 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ruh Lviv vs Kolos Kovalivka at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.