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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 4 August 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Friday 4 August 2023. Obolon'-Brovar vs Dynamo Kyiv led the list at 50% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 24%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 28%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
2 : 4 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 18%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 56%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 62%
#2 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
6 : 1 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
#3 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Krasnodar
1 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 33%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#5 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
1 : 2 FT
Haka
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
2 : 1 FT
Widzew Łódź
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
#7 Super League Β· China
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1 FT
Nantong Zhiyun
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
#8 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
FC Seoul
2 : 2 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
#9 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 2 FT
Southampton
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 58%
#10 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gwangju FC
3 : 0 FT
Daejeon Citizen
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 53%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 1 FT
VfL Osnabrück
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
4 : 2 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Jonoon
3 : 2 FT
Chengdu Better City
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
ŁKS Łódź
2 : 1 FT
Korona Kielce
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 55%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
0 : 1 FT
SV Wehen
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#16 Super League Β· China
Hangzhou Greentown
2 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 1 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#18 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
0 : 2 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 18 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 4 August 2023?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Obolon'-Brovar vs Dynamo Kyiv at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.