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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 11 February 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 11 February 2023. Stevenage vs Bradford sits top on 54% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 43%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two · England
Stevenage
2 : 3 FT
Bradford
Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 67% Stevenage Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
0 : 1 FT
Quevilly
Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 70% Bastia Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Serie B · Italy
Frosinone
3 : 0 FT
Cittadella
✓ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Frosinone Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Premier League · England
Bournemouth
1 : 1 FT
Newcastle
Win 17%
Draw 28%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
#5 Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
6 : 0 FT
Groningen
✓ Win 75%
Draw 18%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#6 Ligue 1 · France
Clermont Foot
0 : 2 FT
Marseille
Win 14%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 League One · England
Morecambe
1 : 1 FT
Forest Green
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 58%
#8 La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
2 : 0 FT
Mallorca
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#9 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
1 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
✓ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#10 Premier League · England
Fulham
2 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
✓ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
1 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%
#12 Serie B · Italy
Ternana
1 : 1 FT
Parma
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#13 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
1 : 0 FT
Portimonense
✓ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#14 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al-Fujairah
0 : 1 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 15%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 63%
#15 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nong Bua Pitchaya
1 : 1 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#16 League Two · England
Crawley Town
2 : 2 FT
Crewe
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#17 League One · England
Cheltenham
0 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#18 League Two · England
Rochdale
1 : 1 FT
Northampton
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#19 League One · England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 1 FT
Oxford United
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#20 Championship · England
Watford
1 : 1 FT
Blackburn
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 11 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Stevenage vs Bradford at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.