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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 18 November 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Friday 18 November 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Excelsior Virton vs Standard Liège II at 40% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 40% down to 20%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the clean sheet market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Excelsior Virton
0 : 2 FT
Standard Liège II
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#2 League One Β· England
Portsmouth
0 : 0 FT
Derby
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 22%
Draw 22%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
3 : 0 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
#5 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Lommel United
2 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
4 : 1 FT
Oleksandria
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
0 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 7 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 18 November 2022?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Excelsior Virton vs Standard Liège II at 40% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.