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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 22 February 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 22 February 2022. Middlesbrough vs West Brom led the list at 57% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 33%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Middlesbrough
2 : 1 FT
West Brom
✓ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 67% Middlesbrough Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Championship · England
Hull City
0 : 2 FT
Barnsley
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#3 League Two · England
Scunthorpe
0 : 0 FT
Northampton
Win 21%
Draw 34%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#4 League One · England
Shrewsbury
1 : 2 FT
Portsmouth
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 66%
#5 League Two · England
Swindon Town
5 : 0 FT
Walsall
✓ Win 45%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 League Two · England
Colchester
1 : 2 FT
Hartlepool
Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
#7 League One · England
Rotherham
2 : 0 FT
Morecambe
✓ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 58%
#8 Serie B · Italy
Alessandria
1 : 2 FT
Perugia
Win 25%
Draw 36%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 57%
#9 Serie B · Italy
Pordenone
1 : 4 FT
Monza
Win 24%
Draw 35%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
#10 League One · England
Doncaster
2 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#11 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
4 : 1 FT
Al-Faisaly FC
✓ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 59%
#12 Championship · England
Preston
0 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#13 League One · England
Sunderland
1 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 54%
#14 League One · England
Gillingham
0 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#15 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Pardubice
0 : 0 FT
Slovácko
Win 20%
Draw 23%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 53%
#16 Serie B · Italy
Pisa
0 : 0 FT
Parma
Win 35%
✓ Draw 36%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#17 League One · England
Crewe
0 : 1 FT
Oxford United
Win 19%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 59%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Serie B · Italy
Cremonese
0 : 0 FT
Vicenza Virtus
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
#19 League One · England
Charlton
0 : 2 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 24%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 52%
BTTS Yes 54%
#20 League One · England
Bolton
3 : 1 FT
Lincoln
✓ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 22 February 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Middlesbrough vs West Brom at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.