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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Wednesday 22 December 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Wednesday 22 December 2021. Sivasspor vs Rizespor led the list at 54% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 27%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig · Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 1 FT
Rizespor
Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 58% Sivasspor Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Serie A · Italy
Inter
1 : 0 FT
Torino
✓ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Inter Clean Sheet 53%
#3 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
5 : 0 FT
Fortuna Sittard
✓ Win 84%
Draw 10%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 75%
#4 Serie A · Italy
Napoli
0 : 1 FT
Spezia
Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 60%
#5 Ligue 1 · France
Lorient
1 : 1 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 21%
Draw 29%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#6 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
0 : 3 FT
Feyenoord
Win 25%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Willem II
0 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 20%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 57%
#8 Super League · China
Hebei Zhongji
1 : 1 FT
Guangzhou R&F
Win 37%
Draw 34%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
#9 Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
1 : 1 FT
Metz
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
1 : 1 FT
Reims
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
#11 Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
1 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#12 La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
1 : 2 FT
Real Madrid
Win 21%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
1 : 1 FT
Fiorentina
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Ligue 1 · France
Estac Troyes
1 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#15 Ligue 1 · France
Saint Etienne
0 : 1 FT
Nantes
Win 25%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 50%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#16 Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
4 : 1 FT
Angers
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 57%
#17 Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
0 : 3 FT
Bologna
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Super League · China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
0 : 0 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
#19 Super League · China
Shandong Luneng
2 : 1 FT
Changchun Yatai
✓ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#20 Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
2 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
✓ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 22 December 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sivasspor vs Rizespor at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.